Probability Colloqium
Date
Time
18:15
Location:
WIAS Berlin
Jinniao Qiu (U. Calgary)

Interacting Particle Systems for Optimization: from Particle Swarm Optimization to Consensus-based Optimization

In this talk, we delve into the application of metaheuristics via extensive systems of interacting particles to tackle complex optimization problems, starting from the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method. This technique leverages collective intelligence, where individual particles adapt their trajectories based on their own success and the influence of their neighbors, directing the swarm toward the optimal solution. We will investigate the continuous model proposed by Grassi and Pareschi, providing evidence of its convergence to global minimizers and illustrating its relationship to Consensus-Based Optimization (CBO) in the limit of zero inertia. The talk is based on joint works with Cristina Cipriani and Hui Huang.

Workshop/Conference
Date
Time
9:oo
Location:
WIAS
Denis Belomestny, Christian Bender et al

Developments in Computational Finance and Stochastic Numerics

We are delighted to extend our invitation to you for the workshop titled “Developments in Computational Finance and Stochastic Numerics," commemorating the retirement of John Schoenmakers. The workshop will be held at WIAS on July 1st, 2024.
 
John Schoenmakers' profound contributions to stochastic numerics and computational finance have significantly enriched our field. His dedication and generosity have left a lasting mark on the Weierstrass Institute, Humboldt University, and the mathematical finance and stochastics communities in Berlin and beyond.
 
Participation in the workshop is free of charge; however, we kindly request registration by April 30th, 2024. For detailed information and registration, please visit the workshop homepage at https://www.wias-berlin.de/workshops/Schoenmakers2024/.
Mathematical Finance Seminar
Date
Time
17:15
Location:
TUB; MA02
Benjamin Jourdain (Ecole des Ponts ParisTech)

Convexity propagation and convex ordering of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations

We consider driftless one-dimensional stochastic differential equations. We first recall how they propagate convexity at the level of single marginals. We show that some spatial convexity of the diffusion coefficient is needed to obtain more general convexity propagation and obtain functional convexity propagation under a slight reinforcement of this necessary condition. Such conditions are not needed for directional convexity. This is a joint work with Gilles Pages.

Mathematical Finance Seminar
Date
Time
16:15
Location:
TUB; MA042
Libo Li (The University of New South Wales)

Vulnerable European and American Options in a Market Model with Optional Hazard

We study the upper and lower bounds for prices of European and American style options with the possibility of an external termination, meaning that the contract may be terminated at some random time. Under the assumption that the underlying market model is incomplete and frictionless, we obtain duality results linking the upper price of a vulnerable European option with the price of an American option whose exercise times are constrained to times at which the external termination can happen with a non-zero probability. Similarly, the upper and lower prices for a vulnerable American option are linked to the price of an American option and a game option, respectively. In particular, the minimizer of the game option is only allowed to stop at times which the external termination may occur with a non-zero probability.

Mathematical Finance Seminar
Date
Time
17:15
Location:
TUB; MA042
Likai Jiao (HU Berlin)

An infinite-dimensional price impact model

In this talk, we introduce an infinite-dimensional price impact process as a kind of Markovian lift of non-Markovian 1-dimensional price impact processes with completely monotone decay kernels. In an additive price impact scenario, the related optimal control problem is extended and transformed into a linear-quadratic framework. The optimal strategy is characterized by an operator-valued Riccati equation and a linear backward stochastic evolution equation (BSEE). By incorporating stochastic in-flow, the BSEE is simplified into an infinite-dimensional ODE. With appropriate penalizations, the well-posedness of the Riccati equation is well-known.

This is a joint work with Prof. Dirk Becherer and Prof. Christoph Reisinger.

Mathematical Finance Seminar
Date
Time
16:15
Location:
TUB; MA02
Eduardo Abi Jaber (E ́cole Polytechnique, Palaiseau)

Stochastic Fredholm equations: a passe-partout for propagator models with cross-impact, constraints and mean-field interactions.

We will provide explicit solutions to certain systems linear stochastic Fredholm equations. We will then show the versatility of these equations for solving various optimal trading problems with transient impact including: (i) cross-impact (multiple assets), (ii) constraints on the inventory and trading speeds, and (iii) N-player game and mean-field interactions (multiple traders).

Based on joint works with Nathan De Carvalho, Eyal Neuman, Huyˆen Pham, Sturmius Tuschmann, and Moritz Voss.

Probability Colloqium
Date
Time
17:15
Location:
WIAS Berlin
Eduardo Abi Jaber (École Polytechnique )

Some path-dependent processes from signatures

We provide explicit series expansions to certain stochastic path-dependent in- tegral equations in terms of the path signature of the time augmented driving Brownian motion. Our framework encompasses a large class of stochastic linear Volterra and delay equations and in particular the fractional Brownian motion with a Hurst index H in (0, 1).

Our expressions allow to disentangle an infinite dimensional Markovian struc- ture. In addition they open the door to: (i) straightforward and simple approxima- tion schemes that we illustrate numerically, (ii) representations of certain Fourier- Laplace transforms in terms of a non-standard infinite dimensional Riccati equa- tion with important applications for pricing and hedging in quantitative finance.

Based on joint works with Louis-Amand Gérard and Yuxing Huang.

Mathematical Finance Seminar
Date
Time
17:15
Location:
TU; MA042
Shige Peng (Shandong University)

Solving probability measure uncertainty by nonlinear expectations

In 1921, economist Frank Knight published his famous ”Uncertainty, Risk and Profit”in which his challenging is still largely open. In this talk we explain why nonlinear expectation theory provides a powerful and fundamentally important mathematical tool to this century problem.

Mathematical Finance Seminar
Date
Time
16:15
Location:
TUB; MA042
Marko Weber (National University of Singapore)

General Equilibrium with Unhedgeable Fundamentals and Heterogeneous Agents

We examine the implications of unhedgeable fundamental risk, combined with agents’ hete- rogeneous preferences and wealth allocations, on dynamic asset pricing and portfolio choice. We solve in closed form a continuous-time general equilibrium model in which unhedgeable fundamental risk affects aggregate consumption dynamics, rendering the market incomplete. Several long-lived agents with hete- rogeneous risk-aversion and time-preference make consumption and investment decisions, trading risky assets and borrowing from and lending to each other. We find that a representative agent does not exist. Agents trade assets dynamically. Their consumption rates depend on the history of unhedgeable shocks. Consumption volatility is higher for agents with preferences and wealth allocations deviating more from the average. Unhedgeable risk reduces the equilibrium interest rate only through agents’ heterogeneity and proportionally to the cross-sectional variance of agents’ preferences and allocations.

 

Probability Colloqium
Date
Time
17:15
Location:
WIAS Berlin
Shige Peng (Shandong University)

Space-time white noises in a nonlinear expectation space

Under the framework of nonlinear expectation, we introduce a new type of random fields, which contains a type of space-time white noise as a special case. Based on this result, we also introduce a space white noise. Different from the case of linear expectation, in which the probability measure is given and fixed.

Under the uncertainty of probability measures, space white noises are intrinsi- cally different from the space cases, which is generalized from G-Gaussian processes which are different from a G-Brownian motion (joint work with Xiaojun JI).